How the score works: Liiga
161 matches in Liiga have a Couchcall score so far this season, averaging 48, and 88% clear the pick bar of 40. Here is what the number is made of in Liiga and the settings it runs on; the method is shared by every hockey league and set out on How Couchcall works.
What drives the score in Liiga161 matches scored this season, each term from 0 to 100
| Term | Average here | All leagues | Picks above the rest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closeness | 91 | 87 | +24 |
| Quality | 59 | 54 | +17 |
| Stakes | 16 | 18 | +11 |
| Rivalry | 7 | 6 | +5 |
| Pace | 22 | 47 | -12 |
| Form | 50 | 51 | -1 |
In Liiga the picks stand out most on closeness and then quality: those are the terms where a match that clears 40 differs most from one that does not. Against the other leagues, Liiga runs highest on quality and lowest on pace. The win probability behind closeness came 12% from a bookmaker consensus and 88% from the table or a pre-season prior.
Teams whose matches score highest on paper
Average Couchcall score of every match they played or will play this season, among the 17 teams with three or more scored matches: Ilves 52 (20), Lukko 52 (19), JYP 52 (17), Kärpät 52 (20), TPS 51 (19).
The heaviest rivalries in the table: Satakunnan derby (1.5), Stadin derby (1.5), Tampereen paikallispeli (1.5), Kaakon derby (1), Kärpät-Tappara (1).
The settings for Liigaread from the configuration the pipeline runs on
| Win probability | two-way from a bookmaker consensus, the regulation draw split in half; points per game with about four points of home ice before a line |
|---|---|
| Team strength | points per game in the table, up to 2.4, pulled to the average early on |
| Table stakes | playoff, relegation: places 1–6 weigh 1; places 7–10 weigh 0.5; places 17–17 weigh 0.8 |
| Rivalries | 17 weighted pairs, 3 marquee, 12 minor (map) |
| Pace | expected goals from 4.5 to 7.5 |
| Upset spice | 1 when a team whose table place decides something (zone weight 0.8 or more) is priced under 45% to win, read from the market only, never from the rating estimate. |
| Verdict | the goal timeline: 0.35 a goal, stars at 5.5, 7.5 and 9.5, late drama from the 55th minute, upset when a 60% favourite loses |
| Typical length | 2.5 hours, used for calendar entries |
A promotion or relegation play-off scores at least 0.9 on stakes, because it decides a season on its own.
This season so farthe numbers behind the pages
| Matches scored | 161 |
|---|---|
| Average Couchcall score | 48 |
| Clearing the bar of 40 | 88% |
| Highest Couchcall score so far | 72 |
| Matches with a verdict | 124 |
| Worth it / maybe / skip | 23% / 8% / 69% |