How the score works: Veikkausliiga
16 matches in Veikkausliiga have a Couchcall score so far this season, averaging 54, and 94% clear the pick bar of 40. Here is what the number is made of in Veikkausliiga and the settings it runs on; the method is shared by every soccer league and set out on How Couchcall works.
What drives the score in Veikkausliiga16 matches scored this season, each term from 0 to 100
| Term | Average here | All leagues | Picks above the rest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closeness | 87 | 87 | -8 |
| Quality | 61 | 54 | +29 |
| Stakes | 41 | 18 | +31 |
| Rivalry | 7 | 6 | +8 |
| Pace | 36 | 47 | -2 |
| Form | 50 | 51 | -0 |
In Veikkausliiga the picks stand out most on stakes and then quality: those are the terms where a match that clears 40 differs most from one that does not. Against the other leagues, Veikkausliiga runs highest on stakes and lowest on pace. The win probability behind closeness came 62% from a bookmaker consensus and 38% from the table or a pre-season prior.
Teams whose matches score highest on paper
Average Couchcall score of every match they played or will play this season, among the 6 teams with three or more scored matches: HJK Helsinki 64 (4), KuPS Kuopio 58 (4), FC Inter Turku 55 (4), AC Oulu 54 (4), VPS Vaasa 52 (4).
The heaviest rivalries in the table: Turku derby (1.5), Pohjanmaa derby (1.3), HJK-Inter (0.9), HJK-KuPS (0.8), KuPS-SJK (0.6).
The settings for Veikkausliigaread from the configuration the pipeline runs on
| Win probability | two-way from a bookmaker consensus with the draw set aside; points per game with home advantage about 60/40 before a market |
|---|---|
| Team strength | Elo-style club rating, mapped from 1300 to 1700 |
| Table stakes | title, Europe, relegation: first place weighs 1.0; places 2–3 weigh 0.8; places 11–12 weigh 0.8 of 12 |
| Rivalries | 6 weighted pairs, 1 marquee, 4 minor (map) |
| Pace | expected goals from 2 to 4 |
| Upset spice | 1 when a team whose table place decides something (zone weight 0.8 or more) is priced under 45% to win, read from the market only, never from the rating estimate. |
| Verdict | the goal timeline: 0.9 a goal, stars at 4, 6 and 8, late drama from the 85th minute, upset when a 60% favourite loses |
| Typical length | 2 hours, used for calendar entries |
A promotion or relegation play-off scores at least 0.9 on stakes, because it decides a season on its own. Veikkausliiga timelines come from the league's own match pages. When a page's goals do not add up to the final score, or only the score is known, the verdict rests on the score alone and says so. A match the score cannot judge is left unrated rather than guessed.
This season so farthe numbers behind the pages
| Matches scored | 16 |
|---|---|
| Average Couchcall score | 54 |
| Clearing the bar of 40 | 94% |
| Highest Couchcall score so far | 76 |
| Matches with a verdict | 6 |
| Worth it / maybe / skip | 0% / 0% / 100% |
| Score-only verdicts | 6 |