How the score works: NCAA Football (FBS)
237 games in college football have a Couchcall score so far this season, averaging 37, and 44% clear the pick bar of 40. Here is what the number is made of in College football and the settings it runs on; the method is shared by every American football league and set out on How Couchcall works.
What drives the score in College football237 games scored this season, each term from 0 to 100
| Term | Average here | All leagues | Picks above the rest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closeness | 78 | 87 | +8 |
| Quality | 36 | 54 | +42 |
| Stakes | 24 | 18 | +17 |
| Rivalry | 4 | 6 | +9 |
| Pace | 40 | 47 | +1 |
| Form | 51 | 51 | +8 |
In college football the picks stand out most on quality and then stakes: those are the terms where a game that clears 40 differs most from one that does not. Against the other leagues, college football runs highest on stakes and lowest on quality. The win probability behind closeness came 75% from a bookmaker consensus, 24% from a published power rating and 0% from the table or a pre-season prior.
Teams whose games score highest on paper
Average Couchcall score of every game they played or will play this season, among the 137 teams with three or more scored games: Ohio State 70 (3), Alabama 68 (3), Tennessee 67 (3), Georgia 65 (3), Ole Miss 64 (4).
The heaviest rivalries in the table: Army-Navy (1.5), Iron Bowl (1.5), Red River Rivalry (1.5), The Game (1.5), Georgia-Florida (1.3).
The settings for College footballread from the configuration the pipeline runs on
| Win probability | point spread, margins within 16.5 points of the line two games in three; moneyline when there is no spread; power ratings with 2.5 points of home field before a line |
|---|---|
| Team strength | power rating, mapped from −15 to 25 |
| Table stakes | Stakes are 45% the two teams' poll rankings in tiers (top five, top ten, top 25), 35% their playoff probability, 10% a conference game, and 10% how deep into the season it is. |
| Rivalries | 68 weighted pairs, 4 marquee, 41 minor (map) |
| Pace | over/under total from 40 to 70 points |
| Upset spice | 1 when a top-ten ranked team is favoured but priced under 75%, half when the underdog is top 25, else 0. |
| Verdict | the win-probability chart, fourth quarter weighted up; stars at 3, 5 and 7 |
| Typical length | 3.5 hours, used for calendar entries |
This season so farthe numbers behind the pages
| Games scored | 237 |
|---|---|
| Average Couchcall score | 37 |
| Clearing the bar of 40 | 44% |
| Highest Couchcall score so far | 79 |
| Games with a verdict | 66 |
| Worth it / maybe / skip | 21% / 11% / 68% |